Akron Zips vs. Miami (OH) RedHawks Pick & Predictions

Akron Zips (15-4 SU, 10-7 ATS) vs. Miami (OH) RedHawks (9-10 SU, 9-7 ATS)

When: Saturday, January 27th, 1:00 PM (ET)

Where: Millett Hall, OH, Oxford

TV: ESPN+

Point Spread: AKRON -7/MIAOH +7

Total: 142.5

Money Line: Akron Zips -319/+244

Notable Injuries

Zips

RedHawks

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With a record of 15-4, the Akron Zips have been dominant this season, especially in Mid-American Conference play where they are a perfect 7-0. They are currently riding a seven-game winning streak, and they have been even better on the road than at home, going 6-3 compared to 7-1.

For the season, the Zips have been favored in 11 of their 19 games, and they have yet to lose as the favorite, going 11-0. In their last game, they defeated Ohio 67-58, and they have gone 4-1 in their last five road games.

On the season, the over/under record for Akron games is 8-9. So far, the average scoring total in their games is 141 points, which is slightly below the average over/under line of 141.8. In their last three games, the over/under record is 1-2 and the average scoring total is 138 points.

When looking at Akron’s ATS record this season, they are currently 10-7. On the road, their ATS mark is 5-4. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Zips are 5-5 vs. the spread.

With a 9-10 record, Miami (OH) has gone 2-4 in Mid-American Conference play, compared to 7-6 in non-conference games. At home, the RedHawks are 4-3 this season, and they have gone 7-3 in their last 10 games at home.

So far, Miami (OH) has been the underdog in 10 of its 19 games, going 3-7 in those contests. As the underdog, the RedHawks have an average scoring margin of -8.9 compared to +4.9 at home.

Today’s over/under line of 142.5 is lower than the average over/under line in Miami (OH) games this season (143.7). So far, 9 of their games have finished with more points than today’s line. Over their last three games, the over/under record is 2-1 and the average scoring total in those games is 147 points.

As the underdog this season, Miami (OH) has gone 6-4 vs. the spread. In their last 10 games as the underdog, the RedHawks are 7-3 vs. the spread. At home this season, Miami (OH) has an ATS record of 4-3 and over their last 10 home games, they are 5-3 vs. the spread.

Analysis

The Akron offense is coming off a game in which they scored 67 points vs. Ohio. Overall their field goal percentage was 41.9% while connecting on 8 threes. Leading the team in scoring is Enrique Freeman, who is averaging 18.6 heading into today’s matchup. Additionally, Sammy Hunter also maintains a PPG average of 9.9 heading into game.

Akron’s defense has been playing well, ranking 39th nationally, with 65.5 points allowed per game. Against Ohio in their most recent game, the Akron defense gave up a total of 58 points while allowing Ohio to hit 41% of their shots.

In their most recent game, the Miami (OH) offense put up just 55 points vs. the Central Michigan Chippewas. Overall, they are now averaging 74.1 points per game which is 208th in the country. In terms of offense, the RedHawks have a season-long field goal percentage of 46%, putting them 114th in the NCAA. Regarding three-pointers, they are ranked 56th in percentage and 121st in three-pointers made.

At this time, the RedHawks’ defense is positioned 143rd in the country, permitting 71.5 points per game. In their previous game vs. Central Michigan, the Chippewas finished with a field goal percentage of 42% and a total of 71 points vs. Miami (OH).

Betting Trends

• Across their last three road contests, Akron has been good against the spread posting a mark of 2-1. Their overall mark in these games was 3-0 while averaging 76 points per game.
• In their last five home games, Miami (OH) has averaged 74 points per game while allowing 75. The team’s record in this stretch was 2-3 while going 4-1.
• Miami (OH) has done well both straight up and vs the spread when favored to win the game, going 2-1 SU and 2-1 ATS in their last three games.
• As the betting favorite, the Zips have an ATS record of 2-1 in their last three games. In these matchups, their straight-up record was 3-0.

Joes Pick To Cover The Spread

Take the Under 142.5