MLB Betting: Cards vs. Phillies Pick 6/1/24

St. Louis Cardinals vs. Philadelphia Phillies
Date: Saturday, June 1st, 7:15 ET
Location: Citizens Bank Park
TV: FOX
Money Line: Cardinals +127/Phillies -149
Total Line: 7.5

Betting Preview

Here’s our betting preview for the upcoming MLB clash between the Philadelphia Phillies and the Cardinals on Saturday, June 1st at Citizens Bank Park. We provide you with a comprehensive analysis, odds, and predictions to help with your handicapping decision or tail our expert based on the projected lineups and listed starting pitchers.

Betting Odds

At 7:15 PM ET, the Cardinals and Phillies face off in an NL matchup. This one is being played at Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, and the Phillies are the heavy favorites on the money line, with their odds sitting at -149. The money line odds for a Cardinals win are at +127, and the over/under line is at 7.5 runs.

St. Louis will be starting Sonny Gray, while the Phillies are sending Ranger Suarez to the mound. Philadelphia is currently 40-18 and has won two straight, while the Cardinals are 27-28 and are 2nd in the NL Central. FOX will be televising this game.

Cardinals vs. Phillies Projected Lineup

Straight Up/Over-Under/ Runline Record

St. Louis Cardinals: 27-28 SU / OU 24-29 / Runline 27-28
Philadelphia Phillies: 40-18 SU / OU 27-28 / Runline 32-26

Philadelphia picked up a 4-2 win over the Cardinals in the most recent game of this series. The Phillies had a three-run 2nd inning and added an insurance run in the 7th. As for the Cardinals, they scored their only two runs in the 3rd. Heading into the game, the Phillies were favored at -208 on the money line.

Aaron Nola started for the Phillies and picked up the win, going 6 1/3 innings and giving up two earned runs. He finished the game with six strikeouts but issued two walks. Jeff Hoffman got the save. Miles Mikolas only went six innings for the Cardinals, giving up three earned runs on five hits.

Edmundo Sosa and Bryce Harper each had two RBIs for their respective teams. Sosa, Brandon Crawford, and Nolan Arenado were the only three Cardinals hitters to have more than one hit.

Cardinals Records & Recent Play

St. Louis is 27-28 overall this season, and they are six games behind the Brewers in the NL Central. The Cardinals lost the first game of this series vs. the Phillies, and they are 10-8 in series so far this year. Their series loss came in their most recent series, where they lost two of three games to the Diamondbacks.

At home, the Cardinals have gone 13-12 this year and are just under .500 at 14-16 on the road. St. Louis has been playing well recently, going 7-3 over their last ten games. As the favorite, the Cardinals are 14-13 this year and 13-15 as the underdog. Their overall series winning streak is at five games, and they have won two straight series on the road.

When betting the run line in St. Louis Cardinals games, it has been a better proposition to take them as the underdog this season. The Cardinals are 17-11 against the run line in those games, compared to 10-17 when they are the favorite. Their overall run line record is 27-28, and their average run differential for the season is -0.7 runs per game.

St. Louis has gone under in five straight games and is 3-9 on the season when the over/under line is set at 7.5 runs. The Cardinals have played to an average combined run average of 8.5 runs per game this season and have an over/under record of 24-29 overall. The over/under line for today’s game against the Phillies is set at 7.5 runs, which is lower than their season average of 8 runs per game.

Phillies Records & Recent Play

With an overall record of 40-18, the Phillies lead the NL East by 6.5 games over the Braves. The Phillies have won two straight games, and they are 11-5 against other teams in the NL East. Their two-game winning streak has come as the favorite, and they are 35-14 when favored this year.

At home, the Phillies are 23-8 this year and have gone 17-10 on the road. This season, the Phillies have been really good in night games, going 25-9. So far, they have won seven straight games at home, and their overall series record is 11-4-4.

When the Phillies win, they tend to win big, with an average run margin of 3.8 runs per game. They have covered the run line in 32 of their 58 games this season, including 17 of 31 at home. They have won five straight games against the run line at home and are 27-22 against the run line as the favorite this season.

Philadelphia has been a solid over team this season, with a combined run average of 8.8 runs per game. Their over/under record is 27-28, and the average over/under line for their games is 8 runs. However, when the line has been set at 7.5 runs, the under has hit at a 10-5 clip. In fact, 62.1% of their games have had higher over/under lines than 7.5 runs, and they have hit the under in their last three games.

Pitching Matchup

Sonny Gray gets the start for the Cardinals today as he faces the Phillies on the road. So far this season, Gray has made nine starts and has a record of 7-2. His ERA for the season is an impressive 2.60, along with a WHIP of 1.00. Gray has been especially tough at home, coming in with an ERA of 0.89 compared to 4.95 on the road. In his last outing, Gray didn’t give up a run, picking up the win in five innings of work. He has won each of his last two starts.

Ranger Suárez will be looking to bounce back from a rough outing vs. the Rockies, as he gave up four earned runs in six innings of work. In that outing, he gave up three homers. Before that start, Suárez had won three straight starts and had only given up a total of two earned runs in those outings. Suárez has a record of 9-1 and an ERA of 1.75 to go along with a WHIP of .82. Opposing batters are hitting .165 off Suárez this season. He has one complete game shutout this year.

Cardinals vs. Phillies Offense Outlook

The Cardinals offense has been one of the worst in the league this season, averaging just 3.9 runs per game, which is 25th in the MLB. They have been slightly better at home, averaging 4.1 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting .235, which is 13th in the league, and have the 13th best on-base percentage in the league. Currently, they are 18th in home runs.

Nolan Arenado is hitting .257 this season and leads the team with 26 RBIs. He is 4th on the team with five homers. Paul Goldschmidt and Nolan Gorman are also near the top of the team’s home run list, with seven and 10 homers, respectively. Gorman is batting just .214 for the season, but he has gone 8/28 with three homers over his last eight games.

Philadelphia comes into the game as the league’s top-scoring offense, averaging 5.2 runs per game. At home, they have been even better, putting up 5.7 runs per contest. Overall, they are the league’s top home run-hitting team and have the league’s 2nd best team batting average. Alec Bohm has been a big run producer for the Phillies this season, as his 47 RBIs are the best in the MLB right now.

Over his last six games, Kyle Schwarber has gone 9/21 (.429) with two homers and five RBIs. This has helped him move into 2nd on the team in RBIs and 3rd in home runs. Bryce Harper is also near the top of the league in home runs, as his 13 homers are the 6th most in the MLB right now.

Free Cardinals vs. Phillies MLB Pick

Thanks to their hot play of late, the Cardinals just surpassed the Cubs for 2nd place in the NL Central but were cooled off in yesterday’s game vs. the Phillies. And although they have Sonny Gray on the mound, who has put together a solid start to the year, they are up against Ranger Suarez and his 1.75 ERA. Yesterday’s game finished with just six runs combined between the teams, and with this pitching matchup, I’m going with the under at 7.5 runs.

What kind of odds are you risking when you bet baseball games? Is the price 20 cents more than the underdog price? If so, you’re paying way too much! Make sure you’re betting into MLB dime lines! It’ll save you a ton of money and it’s FREE to do!